Polymarket Hot Markets — 2026-06-14
Last Updated: June 14, 2026 00:02 UTC
🏆 World Cup Winner
- Volume: $2B total | $82M today
- Liquidity: $463M
- Leading Pick: Spain — 17%
- Comments: 1,237
- Ends: ~1 month
⚽ Brazil vs. Morocco
- Volume: $20M | Liquidity: $248K
- Brazil Win: 65% | Draw: 4%
- Ends: ~1 hour
🌎 US x Iran Permanent Peace Deal by...?
- Volume: $308M total | $9M today
- Liquidity: $2M
- Most Likely Date: December 31 — 82%
- Comments: 6,166
- Ends: 7 months
🕊️ US Announces New Iran Agreement/Ceasefire Extension by...?
- Volume: $49M | Liquidity: $1M
- Most Likely Date: July 31 — 88%
- Comments: 780
🏀 Knicks vs. Spurs
- Volume: $8M | Liquidity: $6M
- Knicks Win: 64% | Spurs: 36%
- Ends: 29 minutes
🎮 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne
- Volume: $5M | Liquidity: $2M
- Spirit Win: 100%
- Ends: ~1 hour
🏛️ Fed Decision in June?
- Volume: $94M | Liquidity: $8M
- No Change: 100%
- Comments: 1
- Ends: 3 days
🌱 Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
- Volume: $3M | Liquidity: $39.1K
- Abiy Ahmed: 99%
🏀 2026 NBA Champion
- Volume: $425M | Liquidity: $593K
- New York Knicks: 81%
- Comments: 717
- Ends: 17 days
🚢 Strait of Hormuz Traffic Returns to Normal by June 15?
- Volume: $8M | Liquidity: $651K
- Probability: <1%
- Ends: ~24 hours
🇩🇪 Germany vs. Curaçao
- Volume: $3M | Liquidity: $2M
- Germany Win: 94%
- Ends: ~17 hours
💼 Trump Announces US Blockade of Hormuz Lifted by...?
- Volume: $33M | Liquidity: $266K
- Most Likely Date: July 31 — 79%
- Comments: 632
- Ends: 16 days
🎮 IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner
- Volume: $20M | Liquidity: $1M
- Leading Pick: Vitality — 41%
- Ends: 7 days
Additional World Cup Markets
| Match | Volume | Liquidity | Leading Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti vs. Scotland | $4M | $7M | Scotland | 64% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets | $1M | $3M | Scotland | 95% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco - More Markets | $11M | $2M | Brazil | 96% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye | $2M | $4M | Türkiye | 57% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador | $2M | $2M | Ecuador | 39% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco - Exact Score | $2M | $560K | Yes | <1% |
Esports - LCS Playoffs
| Match | Volume | Liquidity | Winner | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) | $1M | $2M | Team Liquid | 100% |
Platform Stats
- Over 90% accuracy a full month before resolution
- Above 96% accuracy within four hours of resolution
- Brier score: 0.0843
Source: Polymarket.com